HHAD draw gate A/B report
Promotion requires draw precision and recall plus proper-score and match-day bootstrap gates.
| model | samples | log_loss | brier | rps | composite | hard_hit | draw_precision | draw_recall | draw_f1 | macro_f1 | predicted_draws | actual_draws | bootstrap_improvement_probability | draw_gate_stability | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M0_market | 18 | 1.11971944 | 0.68442945 | 0.43700768 | 0.79371233 | 0.33333333 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.26936027 | 0 | 7 | |||
| M1_joint | 18 | 1.12302996 | 0.68651843 | 0.43851317 | 0.79614678 | 0.33333333 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.26936027 | 0 | 7 | |||
| M4_HHAD_DRAW_HURDLE | 18 | 1.12957744 | 0.68940943 | 0.43800929 | 0.79949498 | 0.44444444 | 0.4 | 0.57142857 | 0.47058824 | 0.42182001 | 10 | 7 | |||
| M4_OOF_DECISION | 57 | 0.42105263 | 0.46428571 | 0.56521739 | 0.50980392 | 0.38337885 | 28 | 23 | 0.3825 | 0.8185 | REJECTED | ||||
| M1_OOF_DECISION | 57 | 0.35087719 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.29275362 | 0 | 23 | BASELINE | ||||||
| M3_ORDINAL_OOF | 37 | 0.37837838 | 0.4 | 0.28571429 | 0.33333333 | 0.37520129 | 10 | 14 | SHADOW_REFERENCE |