HHAD draw gate A/B report
Promotion requires draw precision and recall plus proper-score and match-day bootstrap gates.
| model | samples | log_loss | brier | rps | composite | hard_hit | draw_precision | draw_recall | draw_f1 | macro_f1 | predicted_draws | actual_draws | bootstrap_improvement_probability | draw_gate_stability | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M0_market | 19 | 1.06534615 | 0.64474968 | 0.43094707 | 0.75918718 | 0.42105263 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.32928475 | 0 | 6 | |||
| M1_joint | 19 | 1.06675812 | 0.64563925 | 0.43155146 | 0.76021201 | 0.42105263 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.32928475 | 0 | 6 | |||
| M4_HHAD_DRAW_HURDLE | 19 | 1.08466698 | 0.65776917 | 0.43557157 | 0.77210402 | 0.36842105 | 0.33333333 | 0.66666667 | 0.44444444 | 0.3019943 | 12 | 6 | |||
| M4_OOF_DECISION | 61 | 0.39344262 | 0.40625 | 0.56521739 | 0.47272727 | 0.35904096 | 32 | 23 | 0.234 | 0.5335 | REJECTED | ||||
| M1_OOF_DECISION | 61 | 0.39344262 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3229932 | 0 | 23 | BASELINE | ||||||
| M3_ORDINAL_OOF | 35 | 0.37142857 | 0.27272727 | 0.23076923 | 0.25 | 0.361436 | 11 | 13 | SHADOW_REFERENCE |