HHAD draw hurdle expanding-window OOF
Draw probability is calibrated separately; every row is predicted from earlier match days only.
| match_id | match_day | worldcup_stage | handicap | actual | actual_index | m4_decision_index | m4_decision | threshold | max_gap | regularization | shrinkage | market_probability | joint_probability | m4_probability | m4_draw_probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23-周一041-阿根廷-奥地利 | 2026-06-23 | GROUP_R2 | -1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.25 | [0.40425876884829487, 0.2603902069934605, 0.3353510241582446] | [0.4017228245, 0.2587567606, 0.3395204149] | [0.43132079936561774, 0.21087899206972202, 0.35780020856466016] | 0.21087899206972202 |
| 2026-06-23-周一042-法国-伊拉克 | 2026-06-23 | GROUP_R2 | -3.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 2 | hhad_loss | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.25 | [0.3831956407101424, 0.2107576023905783, 0.4060467568992793] | [0.3831956406, 0.2107576024, 0.4060467571] | [0.4086514713193134, 0.15832793292490044, 0.43302059575578616] | 0.15832793292490044 |
| 2026-06-23-周一043-挪威-塞内加尔 | 2026-06-23 | GROUP_R2 | -1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 2 | hhad_loss | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.25 | [0.22698254815082738, 0.22993037345148745, 0.5430870783976851] | [0.2258124488, 0.2287450782, 0.545442473] | [0.20012981740872418, 0.321031969159359, 0.47883821343191674] | 0.321031969159359 |
| 2026-06-23-周一044-约旦-阿尔及利 | 2026-06-23 | GROUP_R2 | 1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 2 | hhad_loss | 0.22 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.25 | [0.3340645708578283, 0.27072511093983026, 0.3952103182023415] | [0.3356779272, 0.2700692275, 0.3942528453] | [0.35470943183970977, 0.22565664209991937, 0.4196339260603709] | 0.22565664209991937 |
| 2026-06-24-周二045-葡萄牙-乌兹别克 | 2026-06-24 | GROUP_R2 | -2.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 2 | hhad_loss | 0.24 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.3884392272283921, 0.22141035952018345, 0.3901504132514246] | [0.3884392273, 0.2214103596, 0.3901504131] | [0.3935567093719381, 0.2111528512588907, 0.39529043936917124] | 0.2111528512588907 |
| 2026-06-24-周二046-英格兰-加纳 | 2026-06-24 | GROUP_R2 | -2.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.24 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.4136343708899605, 0.23923717667689604, 0.3471284524331434] | [0.4136343708, 0.2392371767, 0.3471284526] | [0.4179146230567525, 0.23136486975052195, 0.35072050719272563] | 0.23136486975052195 |
| 2026-06-24-周二047-巴拿马-克罗地亚 | 2026-06-24 | GROUP_R2 | 1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.24 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.32551715137145715, 0.2425771648576338, 0.43190568377090904] | [0.3282134736, 0.241607435, 0.4301790914] | [0.32454447386575813, 0.24484041934650425, 0.4306151067877377] | 0.24484041934650425 |
| 2026-06-24-周二048-哥伦比亚-刚果金 | 2026-06-24 | GROUP_R2 | -1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.24 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.3801041064198959, 0.2856911509543088, 0.33420474262579525] | [0.3784227561, 0.2844274264, 0.3371498175] | [0.3937219591201756, 0.26009986550246245, 0.34617817537736195] | 0.26009986550246245 |
| 2026-06-25-周三049-瑞士-加拿大 | 2026-06-25 | GROUP_R3 | -1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 2 | hhad_loss | 0.22 | 0.2 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.18833378272537007, 0.2293183364790776, 0.5823478807955522] | [0.1859316792, 0.2263934952, 0.5876748256] | [0.17747433558769452, 0.2737563372661448, 0.5487693271461608] | 0.2737563372661448 |
| 2026-06-25-周三050-波黑-卡塔尔 | 2026-06-25 | GROUP_R3 | -1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.22 | 0.2 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.4761756849102317, 0.24265391066658384, 0.2811704044231845] | [0.4728350393, 0.2409515544, 0.2862134063] | [0.49876861855591687, 0.20672038763011316, 0.29451099381397] | 0.20672038763011316 |
| 2026-06-25-周三051-苏格兰-巴西 | 2026-06-25 | GROUP_R3 | 1.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 2 | hhad_loss | 0.22 | 0.2 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.23936996228647484, 0.22709457960511722, 0.533535458108408] | [0.2444911295, 0.2255655981, 0.5299432723] | [0.23683748465032484, 0.2352717363097943, 0.5278907790398809] | 0.2352717363097943 |
| 2026-06-25-周三052-摩洛哥-海地 | 2026-06-25 | GROUP_R3 | -2.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.22 | 0.2 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.42212189616252815, 0.23024830699774262, 0.3476297968397291] | [0.422121896, 0.230248307, 0.347629797] | [0.45235477074869923, 0.17511777098766612, 0.3725274582636347] | 0.17511777098766612 |
| 2026-06-25-周三053-南非-韩国 | 2026-06-25 | GROUP_R3 | 1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.22 | 0.2 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.3661016949152543, 0.2983050847457627, 0.3355932203389831] | [0.3691852028, 0.2968540221, 0.3339607751] | [0.38233054318705095, 0.267199792224819, 0.35046966458813006] | 0.267199792224819 |
| 2026-06-25-周三054-捷克-墨西哥 | 2026-06-25 | GROUP_R3 | 1.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.22 | 0.2 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.5176813707619394, 0.24936201239518777, 0.23295661684287275] | [0.5196004792, 0.2483698202, 0.2320297006] | [0.5564559295576283, 0.19313890214143886, 0.2504051683009328] | 0.19313890214143886 |
| 2026-06-26-周四055-厄瓜多尔-德国 | 2026-06-26 | GROUP_R3 | 1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 2 | hhad_loss | 0.24 | 0.2 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.33416218608829235, 0.2380456433155846, 0.42779217059612307] | [0.3387579978, 0.2364025812, 0.424839421] | [0.3373066219643261, 0.2308757218977686, 0.4318176561379054] | 0.2308757218977686 |
| 2026-06-26-周四056-库拉索-科特迪瓦 | 2026-06-26 | GROUP_R3 | 2.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.24 | 0.2 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.3403872129671319, 0.23412877082395323, 0.4254840162089149] | [0.3403872131, 0.2341287707, 0.4254840162] | [0.3056631275445079, 0.3122579630248573, 0.3820789094306348] | 0.3122579630248573 |
| 2026-06-26-周四057-突尼斯-荷兰 | 2026-06-26 | GROUP_R3 | 2.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.24 | 0.2 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.23937081451487305, 0.20360276177127137, 0.5570264237138556] | [0.2393708147, 0.2036027618, 0.5570264235] | [0.2121640306263844, 0.29412092955121166, 0.493715039822404] | 0.29412092955121166 |
| 2026-06-26-周四058-日本-瑞典 | 2026-06-26 | GROUP_R3 | -1.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.24 | 0.2 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.30874474074522507, 0.24820655628537702, 0.44304870296939797] | [0.3076172672, 0.2473001562, 0.4450825766] | [0.2720984279708645, 0.337440327890945, 0.3904612441381905] | 0.337440327890945 |
| 2026-06-26-周四059-巴拉圭-澳大利亚 | 2026-06-26 | GROUP_R3 | -1.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.24 | 0.2 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.14282279394085118, 0.20125030055301757, 0.6559269055061313] | [0.1416908329, 0.1996552648, 0.6586539023] | [0.11596261931621975, 0.3514683141944748, 0.5325690664893056] | 0.3514683141944748 |
| 2026-06-26-周四060-土耳其-美国 | 2026-06-26 | GROUP_R3 | 1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.24 | 0.2 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.4563125448986751, 0.22525352089145792, 0.3184339342098668] | [0.4614056924, 0.2231433943, 0.3154509133] | [0.47055273553693994, 0.20107593103080693, 0.3283713334322531] | 0.20107593103080693 |
| 2026-06-27-周五061-挪威-法国 | 2026-06-27 | GROUP_R3 | 1.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.28 | 0.3 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.40637498376470693, 0.25678187379914813, 0.33684314243614494] | [0.4098060489, 0.2552977123, 0.3348962389] | [0.32950350819033886, 0.39737191087622437, 0.2731245809334368] | 0.39737191087622437 |
| 2026-06-27-周五062-塞内加尔-伊拉克 | 2026-06-27 | GROUP_R3 | -2.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.28 | 0.3 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.3486182347087193, 0.22360866569700683, 0.42777309959427395] | [0.3486182345, 0.2236086657, 0.4277730997] | [0.30393721671142354, 0.3231156671305978, 0.37294711615797865] | 0.3231156671305978 |
| 2026-06-27-周五063-佛得角-沙特 | 2026-06-27 | GROUP_R3 | -1.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.28 | 0.3 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.16866602687140117, 0.23302543186180422, 0.5983085412667947] | [0.1668984396, 0.2305833707, 0.6025181898] | [0.142726437323467, 0.3509804573061265, 0.5062931053704065] | 0.3509804573061265 |
| 2026-06-27-周五064-乌拉圭-西班牙 | 2026-06-27 | GROUP_R3 | 1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.28 | 0.3 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.37704066656129337, 0.25682480186059115, 0.3661345315781155] | [0.3809048896, 0.2552317151, 0.3638633953] | [0.39948296909741293, 0.21258935429972733, 0.38792767660285976] | 0.21258935429972733 |
| 2026-06-27-周五065-埃及-伊朗 | 2026-06-27 | GROUP_R3 | -1.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 2 | hhad_loss | 0.28 | 0.3 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.1772790316479637, 0.23956625898373465, 0.5831547093683016] | [0.1766028924, 0.2386525575, 0.5847445501] | [0.17546124099199856, 0.24736362416590085, 0.5771751348421006] | 0.24736362416590085 |
| 2026-06-27-周五066-新西兰-比利时 | 2026-06-27 | GROUP_R3 | 2.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.28 | 0.3 | 0.01 | 0.25 | [0.33800132759469814, 0.23001648786963874, 0.43198218453566306] | [0.3380013277, 0.2300164878, 0.4319821846] | [0.25923459762995055, 0.4094509410088442, 0.3313144613612052] | 0.4094509410088442 |
| 2026-06-28-周六067-克罗地亚-加纳 | 2026-06-28 | GROUP_R3 | -1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.22 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.24386526444139614, 0.29507696997408933, 0.4610577655845146] | [0.2417761507, 0.2925491423, 0.465674707] | [0.24768186943682186, 0.2840445961591868, 0.46827353440399133] | 0.2840445961591868 |
| 2026-06-28-周六068-巴拿马-英格兰 | 2026-06-28 | GROUP_R3 | 2.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 2 | hhad_loss | 0.22 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.31063752203067074, 0.21593096043595408, 0.47343151753337515] | [0.3106375221, 0.2159309605, 0.4734315174] | [0.29811782179838886, 0.24753148722545698, 0.45435069097615405] | 0.24753148722545698 |
| 2026-06-28-周六069-哥伦比亚-葡萄牙 | 2026-06-28 | GROUP_R3 | 1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.22 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.4685365535851642, 0.24944622148618598, 0.2820172249286497] | [0.4737137555, 0.2470162642, 0.2792699803] | [0.47501862415510826, 0.2390625224521673, 0.2859188533927244] | 0.2390625224521673 |
| 2026-06-28-周六070-刚果金-乌兹别克 | 2026-06-28 | GROUP_R3 | -1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.22 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.33541497302490575, 0.28290591973985657, 0.38167910723523757] | [0.3341724146, 0.2818578834, 0.3839697019] | [0.34026818261476194, 0.2725300923408538, 0.3872017250443842] | 0.2725300923408538 |
| 2026-06-28-周六071-阿尔及利-奥地利 | 2026-06-28 | GROUP_R3 | 1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.22 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.6708337434786887, 0.2035633428487056, 0.12560291367260557] | [0.6748456684, 0.201082284, 0.1240720476] | [0.6783069598674545, 0.19469088594459666, 0.12700215418794894] | 0.19469088594459666 |
| 2026-06-28-周六072-约旦-阿根廷 | 2026-06-28 | GROUP_R3 | 2.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.22 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.32796653144016225, 0.22705375253549698, 0.4449797160243407] | [0.3279665316, 0.2270537526, 0.4449797158] | [0.3165421145328916, 0.2539786345933359, 0.42947925087377253] | 0.2539786345933359 |
| 2026-06-29-周日073-南非-加拿大 | 2026-06-29 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | 1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.3 | 0.12 | 1.0 | 0.25 | [0.39335180055401664, 0.2950138504155125, 0.311634349030471] | [0.3982678016, 0.2926231923, 0.3091090061] | [0.3674460779023867, 0.3414434730552294, 0.2911104490423839] | 0.3414434730552294 |
| 2026-06-30-周一074-巴西-日本 | 2026-06-30 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | -1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.22 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.25 | [0.3243746746664475, 0.276732144324813, 0.3988931810087395] | [0.3225450648, 0.2751712585, 0.4022836768] | [0.24980273828264749, 0.443007407883286, 0.3071898538340665] | 0.443007407883286 |
| 2026-06-30-周一075-德国-巴拉圭 | 2026-06-30 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | -1.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.22 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.25 | [0.5239544040827225, 0.21863776367896323, 0.25740783223831426] | [0.5202976696, 0.2171118672, 0.2625904632] | [0.41172034168841326, 0.38601007184256975, 0.20226958646901697] | 0.38601007184256975 |
| 2026-06-30-周一076-荷兰-摩洛哥 | 2026-06-30 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | -1.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.22 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.25 | [0.19668523973453525, 0.2603186996486496, 0.5429960606168152] | [0.1947505189, 0.2577580396, 0.5474914415] | [0.14917755603053895, 0.43898256535754365, 0.4118398786119174] | 0.43898256535754365 |
| 2026-07-01-周二077-科特迪瓦-挪威 | 2026-07-01 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | 1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.22 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.4837439877972272, 0.24387093599694928, 0.27238507620582336] | [0.4886203089, 0.2415674414, 0.2698122497] | [0.4626834192360999, 0.2767902247017269, 0.2605263560621732] | 0.2767902247017269 |
| 2026-07-01-周二078-法国-瑞典 | 2026-07-01 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | -1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.22 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.5533809708191066, 0.2241543172938153, 0.22246471188707803] | [0.550237118, 0.2228808581, 0.2268820239] | [0.5504177166791707, 0.22830882937945426, 0.22127345394137515] | 0.22830882937945426 |
| 2026-07-01-周二079-墨西哥-厄瓜多尔 | 2026-07-01 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | -1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.22 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.1720006067040801, 0.281207341119369, 0.5467920521765509] | [0.1702321748, 0.2783160952, 0.55145173] | [0.16114464544088286, 0.3265745372624833, 0.5122808172966338] | 0.3265745372624833 |
| 2026-07-02-周三080-英格兰-刚果金 | 2026-07-02 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | -1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.22 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | [0.5366171105937563, 0.2425803376656706, 0.22080255174057303] | [0.5333343731, 0.2410963606, 0.2255692662] | [0.5970063965742372, 0.15734259236653808, 0.24565101105922474] | 0.15734259236653808 |
| 2026-07-02-周三081-比利时-塞内加尔 | 2026-07-02 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | -1.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.22 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | [0.2135262206148282, 0.24614828209764922, 0.5403254972875227] | [0.2113817061, 0.2436761332, 0.5449421607] | [0.17479427654173257, 0.3828909383069319, 0.44231478515133554] | 0.3828909383069319 |
| 2026-07-02-周三082-美国-波黑 | 2026-07-02 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | -1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.22 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | [0.5003037558517672, 0.23614337276203412, 0.26355287138619876] | [0.4980271537, 0.2350688167, 0.2669040296] | [0.4936585137810792, 0.24628923342353098, 0.26005225279538985] | 0.24628923342353098 |
| 2026-07-03-周四083-西班牙-奥地利 | 2026-07-03 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | -1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.22 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.25 | [0.5242674425195065, 0.23626986076212428, 0.23946269671836917] | [0.5221449839, 0.2353133395, 0.2425416766] | [0.535647217791561, 0.21969229624418551, 0.2446604859642535] | 0.21969229624418551 |
| 2026-07-03-周四084-葡萄牙-克罗地亚 | 2026-07-03 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | -1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.22 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.25 | [0.28020491489639465, 0.30015170544834135, 0.41964337965526405] | [0.2777335259, 0.2975043869, 0.4247620872] | [0.2743851155976597, 0.31468741270157996, 0.41092747170076044] | 0.31468741270157996 |
| 2026-07-03-周四085-瑞士-阿尔及利 | 2026-07-03 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | -1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 2 | hhad_loss | 0.22 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.25 | [0.24388179351208705, 0.2801553514078721, 0.4759628550800408] | [0.2417009909, 0.2776501888, 0.4806488203] | [0.24768696893857559, 0.26892394652001084, 0.48338908454141355] | 0.26892394652001084 |
| 2026-07-04-周五086-澳大利亚-埃及 | 2026-07-04 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | 1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.22 | 0.12 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.5824035293289809, 0.25809135993587484, 0.1595051107351443] | [0.5871131607, 0.2551806189, 0.1577062204] | [0.5688163478549626, 0.2753997154352099, 0.1557839367098276] | 0.2753997154352099 |
| 2026-07-04-周五087-阿根廷-佛得角 | 2026-07-04 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | -2.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.22 | 0.12 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.43605914183771544, 0.25657972693639486, 0.30736113122588965] | [0.4360591418, 0.2565797268, 0.3073611314] | [0.43396015133903065, 0.2601582142101943, 0.30588163445077504] | 0.2601582142101943 |
| 2026-07-04-周五088-哥伦比亚-加纳 | 2026-07-04 | KNOCKOUT_R32 | -1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.22 | 0.12 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.4006512423453871, 0.3173617367682099, 0.28198702088640304] | [0.3980198517, 0.3152773734, 0.2867027749] | [0.4023255709257011, 0.31450897947372597, 0.28316544960057305] | 0.31450897947372597 |
| 2026-07-05-周六089-加拿大-摩洛哥 | 2026-07-05 | KNOCKOUT_R16 | 1.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.22 | 0.02 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.43418060851639845, 0.29328756336869305, 0.2725318281149086] | [0.4369928544, 0.2918298601, 0.2711772855] | [0.40656316419239213, 0.3382402650529985, 0.2551965707546093] | 0.3382402650529985 |
| 2026-07-05-周六090-巴拉圭-法国 | 2026-07-05 | KNOCKOUT_R16 | 2.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.22 | 0.02 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.3768910957059862, 0.26597419666938965, 0.357134707624624] | [0.3768910958, 0.2659741966, 0.3571347076] | [0.330802377054659, 0.3557356930749989, 0.31346192987034216] | 0.3557356930749989 |
| 2026-07-06-周日091-巴西-挪威 | 2026-07-06 | KNOCKOUT_R16 | -1.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.22 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.28739787434025016, 0.29506181765599016, 0.41754030800375963] | [0.2856638724, 0.2932815755, 0.4210545522] | [0.28284452425223605, 0.3062304122114966, 0.4109250635362674] | 0.3062304122114966 |
| 2026-07-06-周日092-墨西哥-英格兰 | 2026-07-06 | KNOCKOUT_R16 | 1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.22 | 0.2 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.571518837374615, 0.2644340889345233, 0.1640470736908617] | [0.5761098983, 0.2616007483, 0.1622893533] | [0.5662600833336963, 0.27120230015385394, 0.16253761651244983] | 0.27120230015385394 |
| 2026-07-07-周一093-葡萄牙-西班牙 | 2026-07-07 | KNOCKOUT_R16 | 1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.28 | 0.3 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.4865819555511946, 0.254476769857234, 0.2589412745915714] | [0.4906289443, 0.2524708709, 0.2569001848] | [0.4673989747985908, 0.2838682374430948, 0.24873278775831442] | 0.2838682374430948 |
| 2026-07-07-周一094-美国-比利时 | 2026-07-07 | KNOCKOUT_R16 | 1.0 | hhad_loss | 2 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.28 | 0.3 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.6234742837902297, 0.20121215522321048, 0.17531356098655965] | [0.6268332449, 0.1994171548, 0.1737496003] | [0.6081709642650798, 0.2208185863772146, 0.1710104493577056] | 0.2208185863772146 |
| 2026-07-08-周二095-阿根廷-埃及 | 2026-07-08 | KNOCKOUT_R16 | -1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 0 | hhad_win | 0.28 | 0.3 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.4763330588616912, 0.2568056491254335, 0.26686129201287523] | [0.4748925911, 0.2560290492, 0.2690783597] | [0.48038668550080305, 0.25048101479091567, 0.2691322997082813] | 0.25048101479091567 |
| 2026-07-10-周四097-法国-摩洛哥 | 2026-07-10 | KNOCKOUT_QF | -1.0 | hhad_win | 0 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.28 | 0.3 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.3434045483306658, 0.2904864703911862, 0.3661089812781479] | [0.3416968517, 0.2890419268, 0.3692612215] | [0.3360782011144367, 0.30562355141645303, 0.3582982474691103] | 0.30562355141645303 |
| 2026-07-11-周五098-西班牙-比利时 | 2026-07-11 | KNOCKOUT_QF | -1.0 | hhad_draw | 1 | 1 | hhad_draw | 0.28 | 0.3 | 10.0 | 0.25 | [0.34322435714482996, 0.27672463794801916, 0.3800510049071508] | [0.3416134774, 0.275425866, 0.3829606566] | [0.33791693536516715, 0.28790894736353195, 0.374174117271301] | 0.28790894736353195 |