SPF draw hurdle v8 locked evaluation
Draw calibration preserves the conditional win/loss ratio.
| market | model | status | samples | log_loss | brier | rps | hard_hit | draw_precision | draw_recall | predicted_draws | actual_draws | bootstrap_improvement_probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPF | M1_joint | BASELINE | 14 | 0.9159173058618774 | 0.5406248957736708 | 0.0 | 0.5714285714285714 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| SPF | M5-SPF-DRAW-HURDLE | REJECTED | 14 | 0.9115724471844298 | 0.5381104786587743 | 0.0 | 0.5714285714285714 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 0.573 |