SPF draw hurdle v8 locked evaluation
Draw calibration preserves the conditional win/loss ratio.
| market | model | status | samples | log_loss | brier | rps | hard_hit | draw_precision | draw_recall | predicted_draws | actual_draws | bootstrap_improvement_probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPF | M1_joint | BASELINE | 13 | 0.693566402206579 | 0.37689461198699975 | 0.0 | 0.8461538461538461 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | |
| SPF | M5-SPF-DRAW-HURDLE | REJECTED | 13 | 0.7114330557723666 | 0.38925668825601634 | 0.0 | 0.8461538461538461 | 0.3333333333333333 | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 0.063 |