World Cup locked test report
The last chronological block is untouched by regularization selection.
| market | model | split | samples | date_blocks | log_loss | brier | rps | hard_hit | composite | draw_precision | draw_recall | draw_f1 | macro_f1 | predicted_draws | actual_draws |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPF | M0_market | locked_test | 13 | 8 | 0.70360862 | 0.38403145 | 0.84615385 | 0.57577775 | |||||||
| SPF | M1_joint | locked_test | 13 | 8 | 0.6935664 | 0.37689461 | 0.84615385 | 0.56689769 | |||||||
| SPF | M2_residual | locked_test | 13 | 8 | 0.72139148 | 0.38381637 | 0.84615385 | 0.58636144 | |||||||
| HHAD | M0_market | locked_test | 18 | 9 | 1.11971944 | 0.68442945 | 0.43700768 | 0.33333333 | 0.79371233 | ||||||
| HHAD | M1_joint | locked_test | 18 | 9 | 1.12302996 | 0.68651843 | 0.43851317 | 0.33333333 | 0.79614678 | ||||||
| HHAD | M3_ordinal | locked_test | 18 | 9 | 1.07515385 | 0.65685932 | 0.41806589 | 0.33333333 | 0.76151416 | ||||||
| M0_market | 18 | 1.11971944 | 0.68442945 | 0.43700768 | 0.33333333 | 0.79371233 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.26936027 | 0 | 7 | |||
| M1_joint | 18 | 1.12302996 | 0.68651843 | 0.43851317 | 0.33333333 | 0.79614678 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.26936027 | 0 | 7 | |||
| M4_HHAD_DRAW_HURDLE | 18 | 1.12957744 | 0.68940943 | 0.43800929 | 0.44444444 | 0.79949498 | 0.4 | 0.57142857 | 0.47058824 | 0.42182001 | 10 | 7 |